Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.339042 0.394471 0.455706 0.528319 0.612025 0.705443 0.817564
2025-04-06 0.236998 0.308256 0.395632 0.510405 0.656958 0.837581 1.076869
2025-04-13 0.181799 0.256341 0.354880 0.494171 0.685466 0.938381 1.297548
2025-04-20 0.151993 0.228921 0.337033 0.499221 0.735433 1.065828 1.561814
2025-04-27 0.136126 0.216993 0.336767 0.525826 0.815284 1.239960 1.908102
2025-05-04 0.121122 0.203235 0.330750 0.541437 0.878776 1.395235 2.242406
2025-05-11 0.106898 0.188076 0.319768 0.546696 0.925256 1.527822 2.554554
2025-05-18 0.093795 0.172524 0.305564 0.543984 0.957178 1.639034 2.842469
2025-05-25 0.082135 0.157572 0.290066 0.536452 0.979043 1.734536 3.112543
2025-06-01 0.072851 0.145444 0.277677 0.532296 1.005355 1.838865 3.406700
2025-06-08 0.063164 0.131092 0.259291 0.514621 1.004718 1.895059 3.620163
2025-06-15 0.061117 0.131296 0.267972 0.548453 1.102550 2.136655 4.193233
2025-06-22 0.053521 0.119386 0.252126 0.533529 1.107066 2.209106 4.463343
2025-06-29 0.046644 0.108001 0.235917 0.515940 1.104482 2.268216 4.715297
2025-07-06 0.040838 0.098044 0.221281 0.499562 1.102039 2.326607 4.970800
2025-07-13 0.037570 0.093291 0.217048 0.504666 1.144685 2.479102 5.431837
2025-07-20 0.036295 0.092983 0.222485 0.531550 1.236882 2.742259 6.148837
2025-07-27 0.034299 0.090640 0.223003 0.547325 1.306206 2.963716 6.798464
2025-08-03 0.031800 0.086677 0.219236 0.552640 1.352325 3.139301 7.364878
2025-08-10 0.029080 0.081731 0.212469 0.549899 1.379258 3.274703 7.854121
2025-08-17 0.026378 0.076428 0.204142 0.542288 1.393670 3.382995 8.291794
2025-08-24 0.024135 0.072028 0.197515 0.538088 1.415794 3.510938 8.787206
2025-08-31 0.021484 0.066081 0.186125 0.520228 1.401869 3.552489 9.081244